Wednesday, January 14, 2026

When V Sagittae Explodes You’ll Be Able to See It During the Day

Here's a story about V Sagittae, a relative nearby star that scientists have been  studying for some time now. 

The way it's behaving, they believe it will go supernova soon (in cosmic terms, it could be 100 years, or maybe in our lifetime). 

But the resulting explosion will be visible from earth, even with the naked eye. 

I hope it happens in my lifetime. I think that would be cool to witness (even if technically it already happened). 

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Toyota Is Being Sued After a Driver Discovered His Car Was Tracking Him - Autoblog

I've been railing about this for some time now. By simply agreeing to purchase the car, the manufacturer can and does collect all manner of information about you - from your driving habits to anything that is said in your car. 

Passengers are automatically opted in by simply entering the vehicle. 

And you have no recourse, other than to drive a car that was manufactured in the late 20th century, finding a way to disable the information gathering in your car, or simply not driving. 

While it's a nice story that he's outraged and suing, I have no doubt that Toyota will win. He signed a contract when purchasing the car. And that's in there. 

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Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Superbowl Winner will be...

Defense wins championships!  So I looked at the average points allowed per game across the NFL, but focusing only on the 8 teams that had the best turnover margins.

Seattle is the favorite to win it all this year, but we're likely to be sure of it after this weekends games.

Why?

I ordered the entries based on that (lowest points allowed at the top), and predicted a winner for each round of the playoffs:

In 2019, the winner (KC) appeared after the divisional round

In 2020, the winner (Tampa) appeared after the divisional round

In 2021, the winner (LA Rams) appeared after the divisional round

In 2022, the prediction was Philadelphia (it was actually KC), and that wasn't clear until after the Conference Championship (but see my note about how close their points were, and the final in the contest was 38-35)

In 2023, the winner (KC) appeared after the conference championship

And in 2024, the winner (Philadelphia) appeared after wild card weekend.

And that means in 5/6 of the most recent years, we could pick a winner correctly based on points allowed per game.  And in 4/6 we knew when the divisional round was over who it would be.


(OF COURSE this is all speculation and a bit of fun. It means nothing, and with humans involved in the playcalling, plays, and officiating literally ANYTHING is possible),


Details:

Using Defensive Pts allowed / game

2019

>> Entering Playoffs
New England +172 (lost in wild card round)
Baltimore +111 (lost in divisional round)
Minnesota +80 (lost in divisional round)
Kansas City +45 (won superbowl) 
San Francisco +130 (lost superbowl)
Green Bay +45 (lost in conference championship)
Dallas +81  (did not make playoffs)
Houston +45 (lost in divisional round)

Likely winner: New England
Outcome: Wrong


>> After wild card
New England +172 (lost in wild card round)
Baltimore +111 (lost in divisional round)
Minnesota +80 (lost in divisional round)
Kansas City +45 (won superbowl) 
San Francisco +130 (lost superbowl)
Green Bay +45 (lost in conference championship)
Dallas +81  (did not make playoffs)
Houston +45 (lost in divisional round)

Likely winner: Baltimore
Outcome: Wrong


>> After divisional round
New England +172 (lost in wild card round)
Baltimore +111 (lost in divisional round)
Minnesota +80 (lost in divisional round)
Kansas City +45 (won superbowl) 
San Francisco +130 (lost superbowl)
Green Bay +45 (lost in conference championship)
Dallas +81  (did not make playoffs)
Houston +45 (lost in divisional round)

Likely winner:Kansas City
Outcome: Correct


>> After conference championship
New England +172 (lost in wild card round)
Baltimore +111 (lost in divisional round)
Minnesota +80 (lost in divisional round)
Kansas City +45 (won superbowl) 
San Francisco +130 (lost superbowl)
Green Bay +45 (lost in conference championship)
Dallas +81  (did not make playoffs)
Houston +45 (lost in divisional round)

Likely winner: Kansas City
Outcome: Correct


----

2020 

>> Entering Playoffs
Baltimore +79 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +100 (lost in wildcard)
New Orleans +58 (lost in divisional round)
Miami +69 (did not make playoffs)
Tampa Bay +70 (won superbowl)
Kansas City +103 (lost superbowl) 
Arizona +56  (did not make playoffs)
Green Bay +53  (lost in conference championship)

Likely winner: Baltimore
Outcome: Wrong

>>After Wildcard
Baltimore +79 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +100 (lost in wildcard)
New Orleans +58 (lost in divisional round)
Miami +69 (did not make playoffs)
Tampa Bay +70 (won superbowl)
Kansas City +103 (lost superbowl) 
Arizona +56  (did not make playoffs)
Green Bay +53  (lost in conference championship)

Likely winner: Baltimore
Outcome: Wrong

>>After Divisional round
Baltimore +79 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +100 (lost in wildcard)
New Orleans +58 (lost in divisional round)
Miami +69 (did not make playoffs)
Tampa Bay +70 (won superbowl)
Kansas City +103 (lost superbowl) 
Arizona +56  (did not make playoffs)
Green Bay +53  (lost in conference championship)

Likely winner: Tampa Bay
Outcome: Correct

>>After Conference championship
Baltimore +79 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +100 (lost in wildcard)
New Orleans +58 (lost in divisional round)
Miami +69 (did not make playoffs)
Tampa Bay +70 (won superbowl)
Kansas City +103 (lost superbowl) 
Arizona +56  (did not make playoffs)
Green Bay +53  (lost in conference championship)


Likely winner: Tampa Bay
Outcome: Correct

----

2021 

>> Entering Playoffs
Buffalo +145 (lost in divisional round)
New England +98 (lost in wildcard)
Tennessee +46 (lost in divisional round)
Tampa Bay +67 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +89 (lost in wildcard)
Indianapolis +38 (did not make playoffs)
Arizona +98 (lost in wildcard)
Los Angeles Rams +44 (won superbowl)
>> 5th best Cincinnati +33 (lost superbowl) 

Likely winner: Buffalo
Outcome: Wrong

>> After wild card
Buffalo +145 (lost in divisional round)
New England +98 (lost in wildcard)
Tennessee +46 (lost in divisional round)
Tampa Bay +67 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +89 (lost in wildcard)
Indianapolis +38 (did not make playoffs)
Arizona +98 (lost in wildcard)
Los Angeles Rams +44 (won superbowl)
>> 5th best Cincinnati +33 (lost superbowl) 

Likely winner: Buffalo
Outcome: Wrong

>> After divisional round
Buffalo +145 (lost in divisional round)
New England +98 (lost in wildcard)
Tennessee +46 (lost in divisional round)
Tampa Bay +67 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +89 (lost in wildcard)
Indianapolis +38 (did not make playoffs)
Arizona +98 (lost in wildcard)
Los Angeles Rams +44 (won superbowl)
>> 5th best Cincinnati +33 (lost superbowl) 

Likely winner: LA Rams
Outcome: Correct

>> After conference championship
Buffalo +145 (lost in divisional round)
New England +98 (lost in wildcard)
Tennessee +46 (lost in divisional round)
Tampa Bay +67 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +89 (lost in wildcard
Indianapolis +38 (did not make playoffs)
Arizona +98 (lost in wildcard)
Los Angeles Rams +44 (won superbowl)
>> 5th best Cincinnati +33 (lost superbowl) 

Likely winner: LA Rams
Outcome: Correct

----

2022 

>> Entering playoffs
San Francisco +35 (lost in conference championship)
Buffalo +99  (lost in divisional round)
Baltimore +39 (lost in wildcard)
Dallas +47 (lost in divisional round)
Cincinnati  +43 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +79 (lost superbowl) 
Kansas City +64 (won superbowl) 
Minnesota +35 (lost in wildcard)

Likely winner: San Francisco
Outcome: Wrong

>> After wild card
San Francisco +35 (lost in conference championship)
Buffalo +99  (lost in divisional round)
Baltimore +39 (lost in wildcard)
Dallas +47 (lost in divisional round)
Cincinnati  +43 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +79 (lost superbowl) 
Kansas City +64 (won superbowl) 
Minnesota +35 (lost in wildcard)

Likely winner: San Francisco
Outcome: Wrong

>> After divisional round
San Francisco +35 (lost in conference championship)
Buffalo +99  (lost in divisional round)
Baltimore +39 (lost in wildcard)
Dallas +47 (lost in divisional round)
Cincinnati  +43 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +79 (lost superbowl) 
Kansas City +64 (won superbowl) 
Minnesota +35 (lost in wildcard)

Likely winner: San Francisco
Outcome: Wrong

>> After conference championship
San Francisco +35 (lost in conference championship)
Buffalo +99  (lost in divisional round)
Baltimore +39 (lost in wildcard)
Dallas +47 (lost in divisional round)
Cincinnati  +43 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +79 (lost superbowl) 
Kansas City +64 (won superbowl) 
Minnesota +35 (lost in wildcard)


Likely winner: Philadelphia
Outcome: Wrong

Kansas City finished second, 20.2 vs 21.7 PPG allowed

----
2023

>> Entering playoffs
Baltimore +113 (lost in conference championship)
Kansas City +65 (won superbowl)
San Francisco +109 (lost superbowl)
Buffalo +78 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +104  (lost in wildcard)
Miami +60  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +38 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +57  (lost in wildcard)

Likely winner: Baltimore
Outcome: Wrong

>> After wildcard
Baltimore +113 (lost in conference championship)
Kansas City +65 (won superbowl)
San Francisco +109 (lost superbowl)
Buffalo +78 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +104  (lost in wildcard)
Miami +60  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +38 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +57  (lost in wildcard)

Likely winner: Baltimore
Outcome: Wrong

>> After Divisional round
Baltimore +113 (lost in conference championship)
Kansas City +65 (won superbowl)
San Francisco +109 (lost superbowl)
Buffalo +78 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +104  (lost in wildcard)
Miami +60  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +38 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +57  (lost in wildcard)

Likely winner: Baltimore
Outcome: Wrong

>> After Conference championship
Baltimore +113 (lost in conference championship)
Kansas City +65 (won superbowl)
San Francisco +109 (lost superbowl)
Buffalo +78 (lost in divisional round)
Dallas +104  (lost in wildcard)
Miami +60  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +38 (lost in conference championship)
Philadelphia +57  (lost in wildcard)

Likely winner: Kansas City
Outcome: Correct


----

2024

>> Entering playoffs
LA Chargers +68  (lost in wildcard)
Philadelphia +72  (won superbowl)
>> 5th best  Kansas City +58 (lost superbowl) 
Minnesota +64  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +113 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +69  (lost in wildcard)
Baltimore +65 (lost in divisional round)
Buffalo +97 (lost in conference championship)
Washington +73 (lost in conference championship)


Likely winner: LA Chargers
Outcome: Correct

>> After Wildcard
LA Chargers +68  (lost in wildcard)
Philadelphia +72  (won superbowl)
>> 5th best  Kansas City +58 (lost superbowl) 
Minnesota +64  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +113 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +69  (lost in wildcard)
Baltimore +65 (lost in divisional round)
Buffalo +97 (lost in conference championship)
Washington +73 (lost in conference championship)

Likely winner: Philadelphia
Outcome: Correct

>> After Divisional round
LA Chargers +68  (lost in wildcard)
Philadelphia +72  (won superbowl)
>> 5th best  Kansas City +58 (lost superbowl) 
Minnesota +64  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +113 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +69  (lost in wildcard)
Baltimore +65 (lost in divisional round)
Buffalo +97 (lost in conference championship)
Washington +73 (lost in conference championship)

Likely winner: Philadelphia
Outcome: Correct

>> After Conference Championship
LA Chargers +68  (lost in wildcard)
Philadelphia +72  (won superbowl)
>> 5th best  Kansas City +58 (lost superbowl) 
Minnesota +64  (lost in wildcard)
Detroit +113 (lost in divisional round)
Pittsburgh +69  (lost in wildcard)
Baltimore +65 (lost in divisional round)
Buffalo +97 (lost in conference championship)
Washington +73 (lost in conference championship)

Likely winner: Philadelphia
Outcome: Correct

---

2025

>> Entering playoffs
Seattle +103
Denver +62
New England +73
Kansas City +76 (did not make playoffs)
LA Rams +98
Green Bay +37
Indianapolis +115 (did not make playoffs)
Detroit +83 (did not make playoffs)

Likely winner: Seattle

>> After Wildcard
Seattle +103
Denver +62
New England +73
Kansas City +76 (did not make playoffs)
LA Rams +98
Green Bay +37 (lost in wildcard)
Indianapolis +115 (did not make playoffs)
Detroit +83 (did not make playoffs)

Likely winner: Seattle
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Monday, January 12, 2026

Suck it Rodgers.

This makes me LOL
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The world is weird...

The last few weeks have been very strange. And at the tip of that strangeness is the recent shooting of a "bystander" to an ICE action; it really says a lot about who we've become.  

I don't think the conversation should focus on who was right and wrong, but rather we should look at the bigger picture of an organization in ICE that is acting as an unchecked - and quite possibly unconstitutional - entity whose sole purpose is to remove "bad people." But they act extra judicially, with impunity, and conduct warrantless searches, all while hiding their identities.  And there are very many questions about who they are targeting, because it doesn't seem to the bad people as they advertise. 

And of course, there is no accountability.

This is not who we should be.  I would encourage you to write to your elected official and ask them to stand up for what's right and stop this madness.  There has to be a better way.  And I also like to suggest that if you can find a *peaceful*  protest or other means to take action, then you could do that too.
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Friday, January 9, 2026

An ad for Facebook

During the holidays, there was this weird - but maybe cute adjacent - TV ad for Facebook. 

The premise was that in an office Christmas exchange, a guy got a woman he didn't know so he watches her at the office and comes up empty for ideas. Then, he goes to Facebook and discovers she's a KISS fan. So he gets her some KISS fan dolls. 

But the subtext really bothered me. The guy essentially becomes a creep and stalks his coworker to find out more about her.  He follows her around the office and (at least I remember it this way) a little after work.  Then, he digs into her facebook profile. And he uses the Facebook Marketplace to find these dolls from some sketchy guy.

It has such a stalker vibe to it.  And yet, that's kind of what Facebook is, right? They're promoting exactly what they are.  We've reached a level of interconnectivity so that anyone can cyberstalk anyone else, and privacy is a thing of the past.

Ugh.
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If you want to know what’s wrong with the hiring practice today

Look no further than this. I applied for a job with "moveable ink" in March of 2024.  

And today (January of 2026!) I got a response about it. 

The system is broken. Or FUBAR. 
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